Introduced by the ISM in 1948, ISM Manufacturing Index, or PMI, is a useful resource for assessing the health of the US manufacturing sector. It is one of the key macroeconomic indicators financial market traders monitor on economic calendars because…
While retail participation in financial markets has surged since the mid-2000s, especially following the 2020 pandemic and events like the 2021 GameStop short squeeze, retail traders often face the daunting challenge of competing with high-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms. Finding proven…
This article presents the 7 best algo trading strategies for beginners. This is meant as a jump-start for anyone looking to move away from subjective opinions and toward data-driven trading. Before diving in, it’s important to understand the key concepts…
In Chapter 6 of Larry Connors’ High Probability Trading, there is a trading strategy called Multiple Days Up (MDU) and Multiple Days Down (MDD). The books by Larry Connors, including High Probability Trading, are considered key resources for traders interested…
This article presents an ETF rotation strategy. Sector rotation is popular, and this is not without merit. The idea is to be in the sector that shows the best recent momentum. Today we present an ETF momentum rotation trading strategy…
Today, we provide you 5 swing trading strategies with backtest and trading rules Swing trading is a trading style focused on profiting from short- to medium-term price swings in stocks, ETFs, or other assets. Swing trading work involves capturing these…
Volatility ATR Bands strategy is a rules-based trading approach that uses volatility measures to time breakouts and reversals. It overlays dynamic price bands (centered on a moving average) set by the Average True Range (ATR) to capture volatility-driven moves. In…
What happens to stocks when bonds go up? Any stock investor or trader should have a basic understanding of the relationship between stocks and interest rates. Why? Because the interest rates influence investors’ risk appetite. When you buy a bond,…
Can we make a successful momentum trading strategy? Momentum trading is the opposite of buying low and selling high: momentum is about buying strength. Momentum trading is an investment strategy that differs from traditional buy-low-sell-high approaches, focusing instead on capitalizing…
The RSI 2 strategy stands as one of the most researched mean reversion approaches in systematic trading. Developed by Larry Connors in the late 1990s and refined through his books “Street Smarts” (1996) and “Short Term Trading Strategies That Work”…
There are different ways to skin a cat, they say; but in trading, especially short-term trading, a Multi-Timeframe Analysis trading strategy might stand a shoulder above all. This method is widely used in financial markets to identify market trends and…
The Williams Percent Range (WPR) indicator was developed by the famous trader and tax rebel Larry Williams, who has given names to several technical indicators. Williams %R does work. In this article, we explain how to use Williams %R in…
With trading strategies, there are many different ways to trade and as many different types of trading strategies. It’s important to remember that what works well for one person might not yield the same results for you. Conducting thorough data analysis and data-driven backtesting,…
Bond trading strategies are a great inclusion in a portfolio of strategies because they offer diversification and, most likely, uncorrelated returns. Bonds are complementary. First, you might want to have a look at other articles related to bond trading strategies:…
We call the strategy an intraday momentum trading strategy. This is a type of short term trading strategy that seeks to capitalize on rapid intraday price movements in trading assets such as the S&P 500 ETF. By focusing on intraday…
In this article, we present you a Gold Momentum Trading Strategy, originally based on research by Cyril Dujava of Quantpedia, suggests that gold performs significantly better when its momentum aligns with that of other asset classes – specifically US Treasuries….
Golden Cross Trading Strategy is famous and a cited phenomenon in the media. In this article, we look at the performance of the Golden Cross in the S&P 500. A Golden Cross involves two moving averages – one short and…
The Triple RSI trading strategy is a modified version of the RSI strategy with four key variables, three of which are based on the RSI. It focuses on mean reversion, and the trading rules involve conditions related to RSI readings,…
The 200-day moving average trading strategy is frequently used as an indicator in the financial markets. Who hasn’t heard about the “Death Cross”, “support at the moving averages”, “the trend is positive because the price is above the averages”, etc.? …
The overnight trading strategy in the S&P 500 involves entering a trade at the market’s close and exiting it at the following day’s open. Overnight trading refers to buying and selling financial instruments outside of the standard market hours. For…
Random Walk Theory Trading Strategy means stock prices move randomly and can’t be predicted — like flipping a coin. Popularized by Burton Malkiel in A Random Walk Down Wall Street, the idea suggests that trying to time the market is…
The NR7 trading strategy is a narrow-range strategy that is both well-known and popular. The NR7 trading strategy was introduced by Toby Crabel in his 1990 book, ‘Day Trading with Short-Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout.’ The strategy focuses…
The Internal Bar Strength indicator (IBS) is a technical analysis methodology used to gauge market momentum and identify short-term price reversals based on the position of a financial instrument’s closing price within the bar’s range for the previous day. The…
What is the Choppiness Index? The Choppiness Index is an indicator created by an Australian commodity trader, Bill Dreiss, to show when a market is choppy or trending. A choppy market is one that is ranging or in a tight…
Key Reversal Day Pattern signals are often the difference between catching a massive trend change and getting trapped in a “dead cat bounce.” While many traders see a price fluctuation and guess, professional price action traders look for the specific…
In the fast-paced world of financial markets, traders are always seeking new indicators to perform better technical analysis and improve their trading game — one such indicator is the Range Expansion Index (REI). What do you know about this indicator?…
Bond trading strategies are a great inclusion in a portfolio of strategies because they offer diversification and, most likely, uncorrelated returns. Bonds are complementary. First, you might want to have a look at other articles related to bond trading strategies:…
Trend following trading strategies aim to profit from existing market trends. They identify trends using technical analysis tools, enter trades in the direction of the trend, and exit when signs of reversal appear. These strategies focus on momentum, use risk…
What is the Relative Vigor Index (RVI) Indicator? The Relative Vigor Index (RVI) is a technical analysis indicator that measures price momentum by comparing the closing price to its trading range and using a simple moving average (SMA) to smooth…
The 9/30 trading strategy is a trend-following strategy that uses two moving averages — a 9-period EMA (exponential moving average) and a 30-period WMA (weighted moving average) — to spot trading opportunities when there is a pullback. The 9-period EMA…
What Are Market Regimes in Financial Markets and Why They Matter for Trading Market regimes are broad patterns or phases of market behavior (for example, periods of high or low volatility) that persist for some time. They reflect underlying macro…
Below, you will find backtested and researched trading ideas and analysis for our 100 Trading Strategies for Sale. This little shop contains performance metrics, statistics, risks, historical performance, and figures. The historical performance and figures for strategies found in our…
Correlation trading strategies are market-neutral trading approaches that exploit statistical relationships between financial instruments to profit from divergence or convergence in price movements. Correlation trading strategies revolve around exploiting statistical relationships between asset prices—how instruments like the S&P 500 and…
Today we are presenting 3 mean reversion strategies. They were partially published on this website a few years back, and today we make some minor adjustments and present their performance on different ETFs. Furthermore, we discuss why mean reversion works…
Few concepts are as enduring as momentum and trend following. A recent research paper titled “A Century of Profitable Industry Trends”, authored by Carlo Zarattini and Gary Antonacci, explores a systematic approach to capturing these trends over a 100-year horizon….
What is the best swing trading strategy? Is swing trading still profitable with positive returns? We have summarized 10 free swing trading strategies that might help you start your trading career. The internet is flooded with anecdotal evidence about how…
With trading strategies, there are many different ways to trade and as many different types of trading strategies. It’s important to remember that what works well for one person might not yield the same results for you. Conducting thorough data analysis and data-driven backtesting,…
Interested in optimizing your market timing and trend identification with moving average trading strategies? This comprehensive guide delves into the intricacies of utilizing fundamental moving averages such as the SMA and EMA. Explore techniques for refining entry and exit points,…
Data-driven trading strategies harness numbers to predict market trends with precision. This article unpacks these strategies, showing you how to analyze and use data to make informed decisions that could help to maximize profits and minimize risks. Explore how to…
In this article, we present you a Gold Momentum Trading Strategy, originally based on research by Cyril Dujava of Quantpedia, suggests that gold performs significantly better when its momentum aligns with that of other asset classes – specifically US Treasuries….
The Gold Overnight strategy is a trading strategy that is used to take advantage of the overnight price movements in the gold market. The strategy involves buying gold futures contracts or the gold miners ETF at the close of the…
The Aroon Indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to signal trend changes and measure the strength of trends. It relies on two components, Aroon Up and Aroon Down, to identify when new highs or lows are reached, helping traders…
Recently, we came across an interesting research paper called A Unified Framework for Anomalies Based on Daily Returns by Nusret Cakici et al. The authors examined the price performance of stocks over the past 21 trading days and rebalanced the…
If you trade or invest in modern markets, you have probably felt it: sometimes prices move less like a spreadsheet and more like a story. A ticker starts trending, the narrative tightens into a simple slogan, and suddenly everyone is…
In finance, markets are generally believed to be efficient, meaning predictable patterns should quickly vanish through arbitrage. However, groundbreaking research by Heston et al. (2010, 2011) uncovered a peculiar regularity: the intra-day stock return periodicity puzzle. This puzzle describes a…
The exponential moving average strategy is one of the most commonly used among traders. But do you know what it is? And do you know if an exponential average strategy can be used profitably in the stock market? Backtests indicate…
How and when should you exit a trade? Most articles about trading center around when to buy (or sell short) or how to deal with the psychological aspects. Hardly anything can be found about exits, even though when to exit…
When bonds go down and interest rates go up stocks perform poorly. A lower price for the bond means that the yield and interest rates go up, and future cash flows get discounted at a higher rate. Rising interest rates…
This article challenges the conventional wisdom that long-term investing in triple leveraged ETFs (TLETFs) is an “anathema” due to issues like daily rebalancing and “beta slippage” or the “constant leverage trap,” which often lead to poor long-term performance. We show…
For many, the approach is to buy low and sell high. But that is not the case with the 52-week high trading strategy – you do the opposite. What is the 52-week high trading strategy? The 52-week high strategy is…
Understanding volume and price, and how they can influence the market, is very important in trading. Since volume is the measure of activities in the market, traders can use the information provided to increase the probability of their trades. A…
How a psychological bias – the repurchase effect – predicts lower future stock returns. We show you a investor regret trading strategy. Have you ever sold a stock too early and watched it soar—and felt that pang of regret? What…
In this article, we backtest Larry Connors‘ 3 day high/low Method/Strategy. How has the strategy performed since it was revealed in his book in 2009? The 3 day high/low method/strategy performed well in Connors’ book, and it still works pretty…
The Copper/Gold ratio trading strategy seems to offer good entry points for both copper and gold. We backtest the ratio and find positive results for the next one to 12 months after a signal is triggered. Copper and gold are…
Today we test Larry Connors‘ R3 strategy and we continue backtesting the trading strategies Larry Connors and his team published in 2009 in a book called High Probability ETF Trading. All the strategies were tested on a basket of 20…
A recent academic paper titled “An Information Factor: What Are Skilled Investors Buying and Selling?” introduces a fascinating, evidence-backed trading strategy that builds on a deceptively simple premise: Follow the money — but not just any money. Follow the informed…
The increasing accessibility of computational power and public data has recently spurred greater investor reliance on technical analysis techniques. This environment makes it feasible to evaluate and back-test various trading methodologies thoroughly. Technical analysis aims to derive an optimized approach…
The $3.5 billion “secret”: how a bias skews S&P 500 option payoffs every month! In this blog post, we tell you how retail and prop traders make money on the options expiration day (OPEX). For investors and traders in the S&P…
When traders think about diversification, they often focus on spreading risk across different stocks, sectors, or asset classes. But few consider the powerful benefits of adding gold strategies to their trading portfolio. Gold has historically behaved differently from equities, bonds,…
The systematic global macro investment style, labeled Macro Momentum, is grounded in economic theory and aims to capitalize on the tendency of market participants to underreact to news by positioning on the basis of fundamental macroeconomic trends. In general, such…
This post looks into a recent study titled “Does Trend Following Still Work on Stocks?” by Zarattini, Pagani, and Wilcox, which extends the foundational 2005 work by Wilcox and Crittenden. We emphasize that we at QuantifiedStrategies.com have NOT backtested or…
Have you ever wondered if it’s possible to profit from stocks that experience significant one-day drops? New research sheds light on economically significant short-term price reversals, offering insights for traders looking to refine their strategies and potentially achieve substantial returns:…
A study called Market Intraday Momentum by Lei Gao, Yufeng Han, Sophia Li, and Guofo Zhou reveals a significant and consistent pattern in market behavior: intraday momentum. This phenomenon shows that the market’s performance in the first half-hour of trading…
An index rebalance trading strategy is a trading strategy that seeks to exploit the price movements of stocks that are being added to or removed from a major market index. Index funds, which are passively managed funds that track a…
Imbalance trading strategy, also known as order imbalance trading, is a “technical analysis” approach that utilizes the imbalance between buy and sell orders to identify potential trading opportunities. This strategy is based on the premise that large imbalances, especially when…
Since 1993, all the gains in the S&P 500 have come from owning the index from the close to the open the next day. We see the same tendency in the gold markets. Thus, we can develop night trading strategies…
Momentum trading strategies are the practice of buying and selling assets according to the recent strength of price trends. Traders who use the strategy aim to buy securities that have been showing an upward price trend and short-sell securities that…
In May 2015, Micheal A. Gayed published a paper called Lumber: Worth Its Weight in Gold Offense and Defense in Active Portfolio Management (free download at SSRN). We used that paper to make a profitable lumber/gold ratio trading strategy for…
For years, anyone in finance worth their salt could tell you a fundamental truth about stock market patterns: at very short horizons, like one month, stock returns tend to reverse. That meant last month’s losers often became this month’s winners,…
Why do intraday losers pop in the final 30 minutes of the trading session? This article shows you the abnormal returns obtained from buying intraday losers and what might be the reason for this anomaly. Key Takeaways What Is the…
Overnight gaps are a common occurrence in financial markets, driven by news and sentiment shifts outside regular trading hours. But how often do these gaps reverse during the same trading day? What is a gap? In this article, we define…
Artificial intelligence continues to disrupt traditional investing, and one of the more intriguing applications is using large language models (LLMs) to analyze market sentiment. A recent study titled “Does Sentiment Help in Asset Pricing?” explores exactly that. Can we make…
The MACD-histogram trading strategy is a mean-reversion system that identifies momentum changes and reversal points in the stock market. The strategy has generated 6669 trades on a portfolio of 77 ETFs, with long positions better than short positions. Let’s jump…
A carry trade strategy involves borrowing at a low-interest rate currency and converting the borrowed amount into another currency with a higher interest rate to invest in an asset that provides a higher rate of return. If you are active…
High Probability ETF Trading, published in 2009 and written by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez, contains some interesting strategies. They are all mean-reverting and tested on the most popular ETFs at the time of writing, which was the end of…
Investors have long studied the post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) in the stock market, but new research reveals this phenomenon is also alive and well in the corporate bond market—and perhaps even more persistent. We show you a potential corporate bonds…
Key takeaways Stochastic trading strategy (Backtest) In this section, we tested the stochastics indicator strategy using two trading styles: short-term mean reversion (overbought/oversold) and %K and %D crossovers. We tried only the S&P 500, and we used the ETF with…
Golden Cross Trading Strategy is famous and a cited phenomenon in the media. In this article, we look at the performance of the Golden Cross in the S&P 500. A Golden Cross involves two moving averages – one short and…
Gap trading strategies have been a popular tool for many decades. Gaps vary in size, variations, and volume depending on the asset you are looking at. Gaps can be traded in any instrument, and certain asset classes have substantial daily…
The stock market is officially open for 6.5 hours daily and has an opening and closing price for each stock. What is the opening price of a stock? The opening price of a stock (or any asset on an exchange)…
The Weekend Trend Trader trading strategy is a mechanical and systematic trading system designed for part-time traders, allowing them to make decisions and manage trades during the weekend when markets are closed. In this article, we explain the Weekend Trend…
What if a straightforward strategy could deliver solid returns with less risk? We backtested a simple trading approach using the SPY ETF, which tracks the S&P 500, and the results are compelling. By buying only after a down week and…
Earnings seasons, the quarterly periods when companies release financial results, are known for sparking market volatility. Occurring in January, April, July, and October, these seasons are closely watched by investors aiming to capitalize on price movements. But can these periods…
The stock market has been on fire for the last decade, causing the impression that it reached an all-time high almost every day. However, this is only a perception because all-time highs are quite uncommon. Let’s make an all-time high…
Yes, the turtle trading strategy still works today. It is a trend-following strategy, so it works in markets with clear trends. While the original strategy, which is based on identifying breakouts, still works reasonably well, traders have modified the turtle…
What is a market regime indicator? A market regime indicator is a tool or metric used by investors and analysts to categorize or characterize the current state or condition of a financial market. It helps in understanding whether the market…
What are Market Timing Strategies? Plenty of investors try to time the market. Most are unsuccessful due to a number of reasons. Thus, most investors should not time the market. However, most of the failures can be attributed to a…
How can you hedge against huge losses from totally random and unpredictable events? How can you insure yourself from devastating losses that come out of the blue? This is what tail risk hedging strategies are all about. Tail risks in the stock…
FOMC meetings can have a significant impact on financial markets as decisions on interest rates made during these meetings can influence the direction of monetary policy and market expectations. Many traders look forward to them and trade the immediate volatility…
One of the most important factors in trading is trading volume, as it represents the amount of buying and selling that goes on. One strategy that makes good use of trading volume is the value area trading strategy. What is…
A commodity trading advisor (CTA) is an individual or organization that provides personalized advice and services related to trading in futures contracts, commodity options, and retail off-exchange forex contracts or swaps. It could also be a fund that uses a…
If you have ever looked at a stock chart, you would know that stock prices often swing about, which is why some people trade the swings for quick profits rather than wait out the inevitable downturns. However, most stocks rise…
You can develop and create profitable short-selling strategies and systems, but you can’t expect to find many; they normally trade infrequently. This article presents several short-selling strategies in the S&P 500 (SPY and ES) and consumer staples (XLP). Moreover, we…
The Ichimoku trading strategy uses a technical analysis indicator that defines support and resistance levels, shows the trend direction, and gauges the momentum of the trend. It does this by plotting multiple averages on the price chart, which forms a…
New traders often think that there is that one indicator that would help them make big profits from the market all the time. Unfortunately, there is none, which is why the triple screen strategy was invented to exploit the strong…
Every morning you ask the same question: what’s the market bias today? Most traders answer it by glancing at one chart, scrolling headlines, peeking at overnight futures, or trusting a gut feel. That’s a problem. You’re making a day-defining decision…
A trader in a losing stock position has only a few options: they can close the trade at a loss and look for opportunities elsewhere; they can hold the losing position for a while and hope that the price will…
Many traders look at the gold and S&P 500 ratio. The ratio can be used to create sector rotation strategies are popular. One of the reasons is the anticipation of better and more efficient capital allocation, and perhaps a second…
The dual momentum trading strategy by Gary Antonacci, what is that about? As the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett, once said: “Trying to time the market is the number one mistake to avoid.” It is almost impossible to consistently time…
Trading securities can be as simple as clicking the buy or sell button on your trading device, and the trade orders get executed. While that may be true for retail trading, it may not be so for institutional trading which…
